Emeritus Professor Nenad Kecmanović stated that the President of Republika Srpska, Milorad Dodik, wants to neutralize international supervision in Bosnia and Herzegovina, which has turned into a protectorate, with the false High Representative acting as a dictator.
Kecmanović reminded that the duration of “supervision” in Dayton was limited to 10 years, yet 30 years later, the High Representative is still in Bosnia and Herzegovina, foreigners are in the Constitutional Court, and the protectorate interferes in the internal affairs of a sovereign Bosnia and Herzegovina.
He assessed that Bosnia and Herzegovina remains unfinished, unsuccessful, dysfunctional, a failed state, and is de facto in a semi-dissolved state, but not because of President Dodik, Dragan Čović, or Bakir Izetbegović, but due to the superpower’s strategy (USA) to undermine the Dayton Peace Agreement in order to destroy the tripartite consensus in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Kecmanović emphasized that the “supervisors,” not the local politicians, are responsible for the situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
“That’s why they have now seemingly furiously attacked the attempts by Dodik-Čović-Nikšić to reach an agreement on their own without them,” said Kečmanović in an opinion piece for Politika.
He interpreted the assessment by American intelligence that Dodik’s actions could prompt Bosniak leaders “to strengthen their capabilities to protect their interests” as the USA’s intention to arm them like the Albanians in Kosovo and Metohija to lead a proxy war “via little Russians against the big ones.”
“Since no one can say that Republika Srpska has territorial claims towards the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and the Bosniak cantons openly have them towards Republika Srpska, it remains that Dodik is the one who provokes,” Kecmanović noted.
All in all, Kečmanović says, the recently published assessments by American services about Bosnia and Herzegovina can be read as a threat of a new round of civil war in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
The rush to start with the definitive exclusion of Dodik from public life is quite understandable, says Kecmanović, because by the fall they face a tumult of uncertain elections in the USA when a vacuum in the foreign policy of the American superpower will temporarily paralyze the collective West.
“But, this gives time to operatives, like Christian Schmidt and (American ambassador to Bosnia and Herzegovina) Michael Murphy, to do as they please with blanket support from (American official) James O’Brien. The latest move by Western and pro-Western actors of the Bosnian drama supports this,” assessed Kecmanović.
Kečmanović said that if Bosnia and Herzegovina disintegrates, the secession of Republika Srpska will be redundant.
He estimated that if Dodik is convicted by the Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina for disregarding the decisions of the unnamed High Representative, support for Dodik will become a matter of elementary patriotism even for those who would gladly replace him.
Kecmanović believes it is quite realistic and almost certain that the West will go so far as to convict Dodik, raising the question of whether general adaptation to “the decline of power” applies to Republika Srpska or if Srpska and its president could be compensation for concessions on other fronts.
According to him, the empire’s inability to adapt to the decline of power is also evidenced by the annual assessment of the Intelligence Community of the USA on threats to peace and stability, where Dodik is personally pointed out for “taking provocative steps towards the secession of Srpska and wanting to neutralize international supervision in Bosnia and Herzegovina.”
Source: RTRS
