Political scientist Aleksandar Pavić assessed that the potential adoption of the controversial Srebrenica resolution in the UN General Assembly would mean the end of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as Serbs would not accept living in a country where they are unjustly labeled.
Speaking to Srna, Pavić highlighted the importance of a unified Serbian response following the announcement of the controversial Srebrenica resolution in the UN General Assembly and emphasized that Republika Srpska should not stand alone but receive support from Belgrade.
He evaluated that the Srebrenica resolution in the UN and the admission of self-declared Kosovo into the Council of Europe are part of a broader Western pressure to resolve the Serbian issue, namely to bring about a “final solution,” which implies the permanent secession of Kosovo and Metohija from Serbia and the dissolution of Republika Srpska.
“If this resolution passes, nothing will be the same again. It will be the crossing of the Rubicon. I think it will be the seal on this Dayton Bosnia and Herzegovina because the Serbs will not accept living in a country that wants to label them as genocidal,” Pavić stated, reminding us of statements from the top of Republika Srpska, from President Milorad Dodik to all state-building political factors in Srpska.
He noted that Dodik said that the potential adoption of such a resolution would imply the independence of Republika Srpska.
“It’s impossible to do anything else and expect that Republika Srpska can survive. Simply put, now they’ve been told what the consequences are,” emphasized Pavić.
Pavić believes that those who initiated this knew what the consequences would be, and this move is synchronized with an attack on Serbia through the Council of Europe, where the admission of self-declared Kosovo was recommended.
Asked about Serbia’s chances to prevent the West’s intention to admit self-declared Kosovo into the Council of Europe at the final vote in mid-May, Pavić states that it will be a political decision by those who initiated it—whether to go through with it or use it as a means to pressure for new concessions from Serbia.
“Perhaps even such concessions that would go as far as reducing Serbia’s support for Republika Srpska,” he added.
“We don’t know. These are matters conducted behind closed doors, but however it may be, it’s a Sword of Damocles over us. They will be able to initiate this issue at any moment, as we can no longer rely on international law or established rules,” said Pavić.
He pointed out that this is pure political voluntarism, but it is known who is behind it—the USA, Germany, the United Kingdom, France—and they will merely assess whether this is the right moment to proceed or not.
“But let’s not deceive ourselves that even if it doesn’t happen now, the pressure on us will decrease,” highlighted Pavić.
Especially since, he believes, before the May session of the Committee of Ministers of the Council of Europe, when the final decision about admitting self-declared Kosovo to the Council of Europe will be made, the focus will be on Republika Srpska, as the UN General Assembly will vote on the Srebrenica resolution before the Council of Europe does.
Source: RTRS
